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In-Class Material

These are the handouts distributed in print in class. Each one summarizes the material covered in that session and ends with practice problems.

Class Date Material Covered
Class 1 10/20 Probability spaces, random variables, linear combinations, joint and marginal distributions, conditioning and independence, conditional expectation, filtrations
Class 2 10/22 Densities and distribution functions; uniform, exponential, gamma, normal, lognormal and bivariate normal distributions; heavy tails
Class 3 10/27 Probability, moment and cumulant generating functions; sums, random sums and the Poisson limit; characteristic functions and the central limit theorem
Class 4 10/29 The gambler’s problem: probability of winning and expected duration of the game, with fair and biased coins
Class 5 11/3 Martingales, betting strategies, stopping times, the optional stopping theorem, ruin probabilities
Class 6 11/5 Poisson processes: waiting times, martingales and quadratic variation, superposition and thinning, compound Poisson processes, credit spreads and insurance ruin
Class 7 11/10 Brownian motion as the limit of random walks, its martingales, hitting a barrier, quadratic variation
Class 8 11/12 Trading gains and the Itô integral, Itô processes, Itô’s formula
Class 9 11/17 Correlated Brownian motions, Itô’s formula for two processes, Girsanov’s theorem
Class 10 11/19 Geometric Brownian motion: solution, distribution and moments of the stock price, expected return and growth rate, functions of the stock price
Class 11 11/24 Stochastic discount factors, dividends and the money-market account, the pricing equation in continuous time
Class 12 12/1 The risk-neutral measure; bonds, futures and forwards; Black-Scholes formula and PDE; the Merton model; jumps, credit spreads and option pricing with jumps

The normal distribution table is also distributed in class.