The Impact of Dividends
Options and Futures
Lorenzo Naranjo
Spring 2024
Assets Paying Cash Dividends
Put-Call Parity with Dividends
- For European options written on dividend paying stocks, the put-call parity is modified as follows: \[
C - P = S - D - K e^{-r T}
\] where \(D\) is the present value of dividends paid during the life of the option.
- In order to derive this expression we will proceed as before by trying to build a covered call in two different ways.
Building a Covered Call
- Supose that we did the same as in a previous lecture.
- Strategy A: Long stock and short call \[
\begin{align*}
\text{Cost} & = S - C \\
\text{Payoff} & =
\begin{cases}
S_{T} + \textit{FV}(D) & \text{if $S_{T} \leq K$} \\
K + \textit{FV}(D) & \text{if $S_{T} > K$}
\end{cases}
\end{align*}
\]
- Strategy B: Long bond and short put \[
\begin{align*}
\text{Cost} & = K e^{-r T} - P \\
\text{Payoff} & =
\begin{cases}
S_{T} & \text{if $S_{T} \leq K$} \\
K & \text{if $S_{T} > K$}
\end{cases}
\end{align*}
\]
- Both strategies no longer have the same payoff at maturity because the stock pays dividends.
Adjusting Strategy A
- Strategy A: Long stock, borrow \(D\) and short call \[\begin{align*}
\text{Cost} & = S - D - C \\
\text{Payoff} & =
\begin{cases}
S_{T} & \text{if $S_{T} \leq K$} \\
K & \text{if $S_{T} > K$}
\end{cases}
\end{align*}\]
- Strategy B: Long bond and short put \[\begin{align*}
\text{Cost} & = K e^{-r T} - P \\
\text{Payoff} & =
\begin{cases}
S_{T} & \text{if $S_{T} \leq K$} \\
K & \text{if $S_{T} > K$}
\end{cases}
\end{align*}\]
- Note that in A we use the dividends, reinvested at \(r\), to repay the loan and generate the same payoff as in B.
Example 1
- Suppose that \(S = 110\), \(r = 5\%\), \(K = 110\), \(T = 9\) months, and \(C = 13.30\).
- The stock is expected to pay dividends of $2 in 6 months, and $2.5 in 1 year.
- What should be the no-arbitrage price of a European put with the same strike and maturity as the European call?
- The present value of the relevant dividends is: \[
D = 2 e^{-0.05 \times 6/12} = 1.95
\]
- Then, according to put-call parity we should have that: \[
P = 13.30 - 110 + 1.95 + 110 e^{-0.05 \times 9/12} = 11.20
\]
Example 2
- What if in the previous example everything stays the same, but you find that the put trades for $11?
- Then we have an arbitrage opportunity since the put is relatively cheap compared to what it should trade.
- Hence, we should buy the put and sell the synthetic put. Note that the stock will pay a dividend of $2 in six months that can be used to pay the loan at that time.
Example 2 (cont’d)
Lower Bound on European Options with Cash Dividends
- With dividends, we modify the lower bounds on European call and put options as follows: \[
\begin{align*}
C & \geq \max(S - D - K e^{-r T}, 0) \\
P & \geq \max(K e^{-r T} - S + D, 0)
\end{align*}
\]
- As for the case with no dividends, these results are a consequence of put-call parity and the fact the option premium is never negative.
Example 3
- Suppose that you have \(S = 110\), \(r = 5\%\), \(K = 110\), and \(T = 9\) months.
- The stock is expected to pay dividends of $2 and $2.5, in six and twelve months, respectively.
- The previous result implies that: \[
C \geq \max(110 - 2 e^{-0.05 \times 6/12} - 110 e^{-0.05 \times 0.75}, 0) = 2.10
\]
- Note that we only include the dividend paid in 6 months since the maturity of the option is 9 months.
- Also note that the bound is lower than the bound for an otherwise equivalent option written on a non-dividend paying stock.
- For European options you can only purchase the stock at maturity and therefore you miss the dividend paid in 6 months.
Upper Bound on European Options with Cash Dividends
- Since the payoffs of strategies A and B described above are positive, the cost of both strategies must be positive.
- Therefore, if the asset pays cash dividends, the upper bounds on European call and put options are as follows: \[
\begin{align*}
C & \leq S - D \\
P & \leq K e^{-r T}
\end{align*}
\]
Example 4
- Suppose that you have \(S = 110\), \(r = 5\%\), \(K = 110\), and \(T = 9\) months.
- The stock is expected to pay dividends of $2 and $2.5, in six and twelve months, respectively.
- The previous result implies that: \[
C \leq 110 - 2 e^{-0.05 \times 6/12} = 108.05
\]
- Hence, no matter how high the volatility is on this European call option with strike $110 and maturity 9 months, its premium must be less than $108.05.
Assets Paying a Dividend Yield
The Dividend Yield
- There are many assets that pay dividends continuously, like a currency, or that can be modeled as such, like a stock index.
- In these cases it is convenient to model dividends as a percentage yield paid over time.
- We will denote the continuously-compounded dividend yield by \(q\).
- The asset \(S\) then pays every instant \(t\) a dividend of \(q S_{t} \Delta t\).
- Therefore, the dividend yield can be seen as the units of the asset growing over time at the rate \(q\).
- In practice, this is the approach used to model options on stock indices and currencies, although some practitioners also use it to model individual stocks as well.
Put-Call Parity with a Dividend Yield
- For European options written on assets paying a dividend yield, the put-call parity is modified as follows: \[
C - P = S e^{-q T} - K e^{-r T}
\] where \(q\) is the dividend yield paid continuously by the asset during the life of the option.
- In order to derive this expression we will proceed as before by trying to build a covered call in two different ways.
Two Strategies with the Same Payoff
- Strategy A: Long \(e^{-q T}\) units of the asset and short call \[
\begin{align*}
\text{Cost} & = S e^{-q T} - C \\
\text{Payoff} & =
\begin{cases}
S_{T} & \text{if $S_{T} \leq K$} \\
K & \text{if $S_{T} > K$}
\end{cases}
\end{align*}
\]
- Strategy B: Long bond and short put \[
\begin{align*}
\text{Cost} & = K e^{-r T} - P \\
\text{Payoff} & =
\begin{cases}
S_{T} & \text{if $S_{T} \leq K$} \\
K & \text{if $S_{T} > K$}
\end{cases}
\end{align*}
\]
- Note that in A the asset grows at the rate \(q\), so the total number of “units” of the asset at maturity is \(e^{-q T} e^{q T} = 1\).
Example 5
- Suppose that \(S = 110\), \(r = 5\%\), \(q = 3\%\), \(K = 110\), \(T = 9\) months, and \(C = 13.30\).
- What should be the no-arbitrage price of a European put with the same strike and maturity as the European call?
- According to put-call parity we should have that a European put with the same strike and maturity as the call should cost: \[
P = 13.30 - 110 e^{-0.03 \times 9/12} + 110 e^{-0.05 \times 9/12} = 11.70.
\]
Example 6
- What if in the previous example everything stays the same, but you find that the put trades for $11?
- Then we have an arbitrage opportunity since the put is relatively cheap compared to what it should trade.
- Hence, we should buy the put and sell the synthetic put.
Lower Bound on European Options with Dividend Yields
- If the asset pays a dividend yield, we modify the lower bounds on European call and put options as follows: \[
\begin{align*}
C & \geq \max(S e^{-q T} - K e^{-r T}, 0) \\
P & \geq \max(K e^{-r T} - S e^{-q T}, 0)
\end{align*}
\]
- As for the case with no dividends, these results are a consequence of put-call parity and the fact the option premium is never negative.
Example 7
- Suppose that you have \(S = 110\), \(r = 5\%\), \(q = 3\%\), \(K = 110\), and \(T = 9\) months.
- The previous result implies that: \[
C \geq \max(110 e^{-0.03 \times 9/12} - 110 e^{-0.05 \times 9/12}, 0) = 1.60
\]
- Hence, no matter how low the volatility is on this European call option with strike $110 and maturity 9 months, its premium must be higher than $1.60.
Upper Bound on European Options with Dividend Yields
- Since the payoffs of strategies A and B described above are positive, the cost of both strategies must be positive.
- Therefore, if the asset pays a dividend yield, the upper bounds on European call and put options are as follows: \[
\begin{align*}
C & \leq S e^{-q T} \\
P & \leq K e^{-r T}
\end{align*}
\]
Example 8
- Suppose that you have \(S = 110\), \(r = 5\%\), \(q = 3\%\), \(K = 110\), and \(T = 9\) months.
- The previous result implies that: \[
C \leq 110 e^{-0.03 \times 9/12} = 107.55
\]
- Hence, no matter how high the volatility is on this European call option with strike $110 and maturity 9 months, its premium must be less than $107.55.
Feasible Prices for European Call Options
- The graph below describes the region of feasible prices for European call options written on an asset that pays a positive dividend yield such that \(q > r\).
Feasible Prices for European Put Options
- The graph below describes the region of feasible prices for European put options written on an asset that pays a positive dividend yield such that \(q > r\).
Binomial Pricing
- Pricing options when the asset pays a dividend yield requires to adjust the risk-neutral probabilities accordingly.
- Say that over the next period \(\Delta t\) the asset price can go up to \(S^{u} = S u\), or down to \(S^{d} = S d\), and that we want to price a derivative \(X\) that pays either \(X^{u}\) or \(X^{d}\) in each state, respectively.
Risk-Neutral Pricing
- The risk-neutral probability of an up-move in this case is given by: \[
p = \frac{e^{(r - q) \Delta t} - d}{u - d}
\]
- The price of the derivative is then: \[
X = (p X^{u} + (1 - p) X^{d}) e^{-r \Delta t}
\]
- Note that we can make this model consistent with the Black-Scholes model by choosing \(u = e^{\sigma \sqrt{\Delta t}}\) and \(d = 1/u\), where \(\sigma\) represents the annualized volatility of the asset returns.
Example 9
- Suppose that \(S = 110\), \(r = 5\%\), \(q = 3\%\), \(\sigma = 30\%\), \(K = 110\), \(T = 9\) months.
- Using a one-period binomial tree, let’s compute the no-arbitrage price of a European call option.
- The binomial trees for the asset and the call are as follows:
Example 9 (cont’d)
- The risk-neutral probability of an up-move is \[
p = \frac{110 e^{(0.05 - 0.03) \times 9/12} - 84.83}{142.63 - 84.83} = 0.4642 \\
\]
- The price of the call is then given by \[
C = (32.63 p + 0 (1 - p)) e^{-0.05 \times 9/12} = 14.59
\]