Interest Rates

Options, Futures and Derivative Securities

Lorenzo Naranjo

Spring 2026

Introduction

Interest Rates and Derivatives

  • The pricing of financial assets is always relative to some benchmarks that we believe are well priced.
  • In order to compare cash flows occurring at different points in time, we use risk-free bonds as the relevant benchmarks.
  • Unfortunately, real financial markets are rarely fully integrated, so the landscape of interest rates is varied and complex.
  • Moreover, when pricing options and other derivatives, it is common both by academics and practitioners to use continuous compounding to discount riskless cash flows.

Example 1

  • Consider a zero-coupon bond that pays for certain $100 in 2 years.
  • The bond today costs $95.

Time line in years: pay 95 today and receive 100 at year 2.

  • The fact that $100 paid in two years costs today $95 can also be expressed as a percentage rate of return per year. 95 (1 + r)^{2} = 100 \Rightarrow r = \left( \frac{100}{95} \right)^{1/2} - 1 = 2.60\%.
  • In other words, the implicit interest rate paid by the 2-year zero coupon bond is 2.60% per year compounded annually.

Example 1 (continued)

  • This means that every dollar paid for certain in two years today costs $0.95.

Time line in years: pay 0.95 today and receive 1 at year 2.

  • Thus, a bond that pays for certain $50,000 in two years today should cost 0.95 \times 50{,}000 = \$47{,}500.

Time line in years: pay 47,500 today and receive 50,000 at year 2.

An Arbitrage Example

  • What if this new bond trades for a different price, say $47,000?
  • Then there would be an arbitrage opportunity.
  • These two strategies pay the same:
    • 500 bonds paying $100 in two years
    • 1 bond paying $50,000 in two years
  • How to profit?
    • Buy the bond with face value $50,000 expiring in two years.
    • Sell 500 bonds with face value $100 expiring at the same date.
  • This long-short strategy provides today with a positive cash-flow of $500 and is fully hedged in two years.

Different Types of Interest Rates

Treasury Rates

  • The United States government through the Department of the Treasury issues Bills, Notes and Bonds to finance government activities.
  • Treasury bonds are usually perceived as risk-free, i.e. no risk of default.
  • Despite the size of the U.S. Treasury market, the demand for Treasury securities often surpasses its supply.
  • For this reason, the yield-to-maturity (YTM) of Treasury bonds might be lower than the rate of a fully collateralized loan.
  • Therefore, Treasury rates are commonly not used as benchmark rates to price derivative securities.

U.S. Public Debt

Line chart of total US public debt in millions of dollars since 1990, rising steadily and faster after 2008 and 2020.

LIBOR

  • The London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) has been at the heart of the financial system for many decades.
  • For all this time, LIBOR has provided a reference for pricing derivatives, loans and securities.
  • Large corporate loans used to be indexed to LIBOR.
  • Since many borrowers liked to pay a fixed rate, one of the most important derivatives that used LIBOR as a reference rate were interest rate swaps.
  • LIBOR is no longer used and in the U.S. it has been replaced with SOFR.

OIS and Overnight Rates

  • In the United States, banks hold reserve balances at the Federal Reserve and lend them to each other overnight in the federal funds market.
  • Reserve requirements have been zero since March 2020, but institutions still trade reserves to manage their liquidity.
  • The volume-weighted median rate of these overnight loans is termed the (EFFR).
  • When the Federal Reserve determines the , they implement their policy by making sure that the EFFR is close every day to their target.
  • An overnight indexed swap (OIS) is an over-the-counter financial contract in which one party pays the compounded EFFR over a certain period, say three months, in exchange for a fixed payment.

Evolution of the Effective Federal Funds Rate

Line chart of the monthly effective federal funds rate since 1960, peaking near 19 percent around 1981, near zero after 2008 and again in 2020 to 2021, then rising in 2022 and 2023.

Federal Reserve Interest Rate Policy

Line chart since 2009 of the effective federal funds rate in blue between the dashed upper and lower limits of the Federal Reserve target range; the effective rate stays inside the range throughout.

SOFR and Repo Rates

  • In a repurchase agreement or repo, a financial institution or trader sells some securities to a counterparty with the agreement to repurchase them back later for a slightly higher price.
  • The implicit interest rate in this transaction is the repo rate.
  • Unlike LIBOR and the EFFR, repo rates are secured borrowing rates.
  • The volume-weighted median rate of overnight repo transactions backed by Treasury securities is called the (SOFR).
  • U.S. regulators told banks to stop writing new LIBOR contracts after 2021, and SOFR has since replaced LIBOR USD.
  • Given its close connection to secured overnight borrowing in a deep and liquid market, SOFR is the benchmark risk-free rate we will use when pricing futures, forwards, and options.

Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR)

Line chart of the daily secured overnight financing rate since 2019, near zero in 2020 and 2021 and rising from 2022.

Compounding Frequencies

Compounding Multiple Times per Year

  • Suppose you have $100 to invest for a year and the interest rate is 10%.
  • It makes a difference how often you compound the interest.
  • As you compound more often you earn more interest-on-interest.
Compounding Frequency Future Value
Annual 100(1.10)=\$110.00
Semi-Annual 100(1.05)^{2}=\$110.25
Quarterly 100\left(1+\frac{0.10}{4}\right)^{4}=\$110.38
Monthly 100\left(1+\frac{0.10}{12}\right)^{12}=\$110.47
Daily 100\left(1+\frac{0.10}{365}\right)^{365}=\$110.52

Compounding in the Limit

  • It turns out that there is a limit to the compounding operation we just did: \lim_{n\rightarrow\infty} 100\left(1+\frac{0.10}{n}\right)^{n} = 100e^{0.10} = \$110.52.
  • We call this operation continuous compounding, and you can see that compounding daily is already a pretty good approximation of it.
  • In general, if we denote by r the continuously-compounded interest rate, the relationship between present value (PV) and future value (FV) is given by: \text{FV}=\text{PV}e^{rT} \Longleftrightarrow \text{PV}=\text{FV}e^{-rT}

A Note on Exponentials

  • In the previous expression e^{x} = \exp(x) is called the exponential function.
  • In a spreadsheet, for example, if you want to compute 100 e^{0.10} you need to type =100*exp(0.10), which will return 110.52.
  • If, on the other hand, you want to know which rate r gives you a future value of $110 over a year if you invest $100 and the rate is compounded continuously, then we need to solve: 110 = 100 e^{r}, which is the same as solving for r in e^{r} = 1.10.
  • The natural logarithm function allows us to solve for r, that is e^{r} = 1.10 \Leftrightarrow r = \ln(1.10) = 9.53\%.

Converting Between Compounding Conventions

  • To convert a rate r_m compounded m times per year to a rate r_n compounded n times per year, equate future values: \left(1 + \frac{r_m}{m}\right)^{m} = \left(1 + \frac{r_n}{n}\right)^{n}.
  • To convert to a continuously-compounded rate r_c, take the limit n \to \infty: \left(1 + \frac{r_m}{m}\right)^{m} = e^{r_c} \Rightarrow r_c = m \ln\!\left(1 + \frac{r_m}{m}\right).

Effective Annual Rate (EAR)

  • In the previous slide we saw that 100 \times 1.10 = 110 = 100e^{0.0953}.
  • Therefore 10% per year compounded annually is the same as 9.53% per year compounded continuously because it gives us the same amount of money after a year.
  • We can also say that 9.53% per year compounded continuously is equivalent to an effective annual rate (EAR) of 10% per year.

Example 2: Pricing a Zero-Coupon Bond

  • A zero-coupon bond pays its principal or face-value (FV) at maturity but makes no intermediate payments.

Time line: the zero-coupon bond pays its face value FV at time T and nothing before.

  • The continuously-compounded interest rate is 8% per year.
  • Consider a zero-coupon risk-free bond with face value $1,000 and expiring in seven months.
  • The price of the bond is: B = 1000e^{-0.08 \times 7/12} = \$954.41.

Example 3: Pricing a Coupon-Bond

  • A coupon-bond pays a periodic amount (C) either every year or every six months, and its principal or face-value (FV) at maturity.

Time line of a coupon bond: a coupon C at years 1, 2 and so on through T minus 1, and the coupon plus the face value FV at year T.

  • The continuously-compounded interest rate is 6% per year.
  • Consider a bond that pays coupons of 4% every year over a notional of $1,000 and expiring in four years.
  • The price of the bond is: B = 40e^{-0.06 \times 1} + 40e^{-0.06 \times 2} + 40e^{-0.06 \times 3} + 1040e^{-0.06 \times 4} = \$924.65.

Zero Rates

Where Do Zero Rates Come From?

  • In general, the interest rate for different maturities is not the same.
  • The collection of interest rates for different maturities is called the term-structure of interest rates.
  • The price of a zero-coupon bond is determined by discounting its face-value at the relevant interest rate.
  • For a given maturity \tau, the \tau-year zero rate, denoted by r(\tau), is the interest rate that gives the correct \tau-year zero-coupon bond price Z_{\tau}.
  • If r(\tau) is a continuously-compounded rate we must have: Z_{\tau} = F e^{-r(\tau) \tau}.

Example 4

  • You have the following information for zero rates expressed per year with continuous compounding.
Maturity (months) 1 3 6 9 12
Zero Rate (%) 6.0 6.4 6.6 6.8 7.0
  • Consider a zero-coupon risk-free bond with face value $1,000 and expiring in 9 months.
  • The price of the bond is: B = 1000e^{-0.068 \times 9/12} = \$950.28.